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The obvious scenario we are all overlooking

Everyone is talking about Orton cashing in at Summerslam against Bryan like it's a forgone conclusion...but I feel like we're missing the most obvious scenario of them all.  

Cena beats Bryan in a war, and Orton cashes on Cena...doesn't that really seem the most plausible of all of the scenarios?  It keeps Bryan hot, gives him a built in feud, and keeps Orton in the grey area of heel/face.  

Right?

No, because I honestly think they're pulling the trigger and making Bryan a member of the Tippy Top Guy Club out of necessity.  They NEED a new top guy and they've invested this much in him already, so they're gonna keep pushing until people see him at the CM Punk level for good.  And that means he beats John Cena to win the WWE title.  And then if Orton screws him out of the belt immediately afterwards, all the better.